Michael McCarron vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Danault 54.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 86.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 71.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
McCarron
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McCarron
Danault
Last 6: McCarron 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
56.5% (711)
-3.4%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
46.0% (50)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
51.7% (116)
+2.0%
On power play, Danault has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Danault is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
McCarron
Danault
Home
52.8% (477)
57.0% (379)
Away
52.8% (411)
54.0% (498)
By Period
McCarron
Danault
P1
56.5%
55.8%
P2
53.2%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |