Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Steel 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 65.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 86.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 75.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Danault
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Danault
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
0
Danault
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
52.5% (200)
+4.0%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
71.4% (7)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
40.0% (45)
+11.7%
On power play, Steel has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Danault
Steel
Home
57.0% (379)
49.5% (109)
Away
54.0% (498)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Danault
Steel
P1
55.8%
49.5%
P2
55.3%
47.5%
P3
54.8%
56.6%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |