Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.2%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.4% vs Crosby 54.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 76.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Danault
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Danault
Crosby
Last 9: Danault 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
0
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (805)
53.1% (1,114)
+2.8%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
63.2% (272)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (133)
60.0% (15)
-8.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Danault is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Danault shoots left. Crosby is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Danault
Crosby
Home
55.5% (434)
56.1% (731)
Away
54.2% (557)
54.2% (670)
By Period
Danault
Crosby
P1
55.6%
55.3%
P2
53.5%
51.7%
P3
55.0%
58.3%
OT
57.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
44.0%▼
51.5%
54.8%
Crosby
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |