Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.7%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.8% vs Crosby 55.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 71.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Danault
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Danault
Crosby
Last 9: Danault 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
0
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (711)
53.5% (961)
+3.0%
Power Play
46.0% (50)
64.1% (237)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (116)
64.3% (14)
-12.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Danault shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Danault
Crosby
Home
57.0% (379)
56.4% (622)
Away
54.0% (498)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Danault
Crosby
P1
55.8%
56.0%
P2
55.3%
52.6%
P3
54.8%
58.3%
OT
55.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |