Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.7%). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Dubois 46.7% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Roy
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
46.2% (7,002)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
51.3% (606)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.1% (108)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Roy
Dubois
Home
49.5% (1,982)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Roy
Dubois
P1
47.6%
47.6%
P2
46.2%
45.6%
P3
48.5%
46.8%
OT
43.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%