Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 44.0% vs Kesler 55.2% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 96.8%
Defensive zone
Dubois 61.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 88.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Dubois
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Dubois
Kesler
Last 10: Dubois 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Dubois
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Dubois
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (955)
55.7% (741)
-12.2%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
67.0% (100)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (204)
+4.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dubois is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Dubois shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Dubois
Kesler
Home
47.0% (538)
52.5% (522)
Away
39.7% (509)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Dubois
Kesler
P1
41.8%
56.7%
P2
43.2%
56.8%
P3
45.0%
54.1%
OT
71.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
42.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |