Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubois wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 45.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 88.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 73.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Dubois
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dubois
Bozak
Last 6: Dubois 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
1
Dubois
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
0
Dubois
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubois
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (753)
57.3% (483)
-12.9%
Power Play
52.9% (34)
57.5% (73)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
42.3% (104)
-3.4%
On even strength, Bozak has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dubois is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Dubois shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Dubois
Bozak
Home
47.0% (436)
57.8% (332)
Away
41.7% (369)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Dubois
Bozak
P1
46.3%
52.7%
P2
39.3%
55.6%
P3
48.8%
56.7%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
44.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |