Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dubois wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 44.0% vs Smith 49.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 92.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 70.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Dubois
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Dubois
Smith
Last 10: Dubois 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
0
Dubois
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Dubois
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Dubois
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (955)
50.9% (666)
-7.4%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
70.0% (10)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
39.6% (144)
+14.9%
On power play, Smith has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Dubois is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Dubois shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Dubois
Smith
Home
47.0% (538)
50.9% (405)
Away
39.7% (509)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Dubois
Smith
P1
41.8%
47.1%
P2
43.2%
49.6%
P3
45.0%
50.4%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |