Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 74.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 80.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 78.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Suter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Suter
Seguin
Last 10: Suter 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
4
3
Suter
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suter
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
55.9% (810)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
49.3% (762)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Suter shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Suter
Seguin
Home
46.8% (1,804)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Suter
Seguin
P1
46.6%
52.8%
P2
46.0%
53.3%
P3
46.1%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |