Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.3%). Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Suter wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.6% vs Johnston 48.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 58.9%
Defensive zone
Suter 61.9%
Neutral zone
Suter 58.3%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Suter
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Suter
Johnston
Last 8: Suter 3-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Suter
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
4
Suter
Johnston
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (357)
47.8% (623)
+2.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
50.8% (63)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (79)
51.4% (35)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Suter is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Suter shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Suter
Johnston
Home
48.0% (223)
47.6% (351)
Away
48.5% (229)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Suter
Johnston
P1
48.9%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
47.3%
P3
49.7%
48.0%
OT
25.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |