Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.0% vs 44.7%). Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.4% vs Thompson 45.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Byfield 54.6%
Defensive zone
Byfield 80.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 66.9%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Byfield
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Byfield
Thompson
Last 10: Byfield 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
4
0
Byfield
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
5
1
Byfield
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (759)
44.9% (642)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
47.9% (94)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (148)
33.3% (33)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Byfield is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Byfield shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Byfield
Thompson
Home
46.2% (442)
46.0% (391)
Away
44.0% (523)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Byfield
Thompson
P1
44.1%
48.1%
P2
43.5%
44.9%
P3
47.7%
41.2%
OT
39.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |