Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.1% vs Seguin 52.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 52.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Byfield
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Byfield
Seguin
Last 5: Byfield 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Byfield
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Byfield
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (738)
53.2% (201)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
60.0% (25)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (148)
44.4% (9)
-9.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Byfield is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Byfield shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Byfield
Seguin
Home
46.2% (442)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.2% (502)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Byfield
Seguin
P1
43.7%
44.3%
P2
43.7%
52.1%
P3
46.9%
62.5%
OT
38.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |