Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Umberger 50.1% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Umberger 59.9%
Defensive zone
Erne 52.1%
Neutral zone
Umberger 54.1%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Erne
Umberger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
50.9% (387)
+2.2%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
49.8% (251)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
46.6% (58)
+7.2%
On power play, Umberger has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Erne
Umberger
Home
57.8% (109)
52.3% (365)
Away
45.5% (99)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Erne
Umberger
P1
59.0%
50.0%
P2
48.6%
49.3%
P3
45.3%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%