Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cogliano wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Umberger 50.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 73.2%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 93.2%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 78.6%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Cogliano
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Cogliano
Umberger
Last 5: Cogliano 0-5 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
3
Cogliano
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Cogliano
Umberger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Cogliano
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
48.6% (107)
-7.0%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
50.5% (97)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
64.3% (14)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Cogliano is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cogliano shoots left. Umberger is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Umberger
Home
43.7% (572)
51.9% (104)
Away
39.4% (536)
49.1% (116)
By Period
Cogliano
Umberger
P1
39.2%
55.0%
P2
37.4%
45.2%
P3
48.2%
50.0%
OT
38.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |