Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Umberger 50.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 76.2%
Neutral zone
Umberger 51.0%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Sutter
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Umberger
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
2
Sutter
Umberger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Umberger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
48.6% (107)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
50.5% (97)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
64.3% (14)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Umberger is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Sutter
Umberger
Home
44.3% (705)
51.9% (104)
Away
44.4% (644)
49.1% (116)
By Period
Sutter
Umberger
P1
41.0%
55.0%
P2
42.1%
45.2%
P3
49.1%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |