Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Umberger 49.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 51.2%
Defensive zone
Legwand 79.7%
Neutral zone
Legwand 62.9%
Result
David Legwand favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Legwand
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Legwand
Umberger
Last 5: Legwand 1-4 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
3
Legwand
Umberger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Legwand
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
50.6% (164)
-6.0%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
49.1% (114)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
40.0% (25)
+1.1%
On power play, Legwand has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Legwand
Umberger
Home
48.8% (529)
48.8% (166)
Away
43.8% (580)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Legwand
Umberger
P1
49.7%
43.7%
P2
45.0%
52.6%
P3
44.8%
51.4%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |