Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.9% vs Umberger 50.0% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 93.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 82.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Gaustad
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaustad
Umberger
Last 5: Gaustad 4-1 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Gaustad
Umberger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
0
Gaustad
Umberger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (353)
50.0% (72)
+9.8%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
50.0% (26)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (81)
50.0% (10)
+8.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Gaustad is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Gaustad shoots left. Umberger is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Umberger
Home
62.1% (195)
54.5% (55)
Away
57.9% (254)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Gaustad
Umberger
P1
59.4%
54.5%
P2
58.1%
53.1%
P3
61.3%
45.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | OT | 01:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |