Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Umberger 50.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 89.7%
Defensive zone
Umberger 52.3%
Neutral zone
Umberger 74.0%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Umberger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Umberger
Kesler
Last 8: Umberger 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Umberger
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Umberger
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
1
Umberger
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Umberger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (387)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.5%
Power Play
49.8% (251)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Umberger is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Umberger shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Umberger
Kesler
Home
52.3% (365)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.6% (336)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Umberger
Kesler
P1
50.0%
56.5%
P2
49.3%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
56.1%
OT
57.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 1, 2011 | OT | 02:52 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |