Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.1%). Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Faksa 54.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 61.4%
Neutral zone
Faksa 62.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Stepan
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Stepan
Faksa
Last 8: Stepan 7-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
55.1% (584)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (12)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
53.5% (99)
+11.2%
On power play, Faksa has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Faksa is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Stepan
Faksa
Home
54.5% (222)
54.5% (341)
Away
57.2% (222)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Stepan
Faksa
P1
57.5%
60.9%
P2
54.7%
53.9%
P3
55.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |