Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 51.5% vs Kesler 52.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 55.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 60.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 56.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Faksa
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Faksa
Kesler
Last 8: Faksa 6-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
3
1
Faksa
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
0
Faksa
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
55.2% (567)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
54.9% (51)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (150)
45.0% (131)
+4.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Faksa is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Faksa shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Faksa
Kesler
Home
52.6% (548)
55.7% (388)
Away
50.7% (529)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Faksa
Kesler
P1
51.5%
56.3%
P2
53.4%
52.5%
P3
50.1%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
51.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |