Scouting Report
Mathieu Joseph holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 40.7% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 59.8%
Defensive zone
Joseph 61.4%
Neutral zone
Joseph 51.2%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Joseph
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (336)
34.2% (184)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
45.2% (42)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (14)
-2.4%
On power play, Joseph has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Joseph is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Joseph shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Joseph
Vrbata
Home
38.8% (183)
32.3% (124)
Away
37.6% (181)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Joseph
Vrbata
P1
36.2%
31.0%
P2
28.8%
38.5%
P3
53.1%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.2%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%