Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Vrbata wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vrbata 40.9% vs Noesen 44.6% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 51.9%
Defensive zone
Noesen 52.1%
Neutral zone
Noesen 52.8%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Vrbata
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vrbata
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
34.2% (184)
42.3% (407)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.2% (42)
46.5% (114)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
57.1% (14)
-7.1%
On even strength, Noesen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Vrbata is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Vrbata shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Vrbata
Noesen
Home
32.3% (124)
43.8% (267)
Away
42.2% (116)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Vrbata
Noesen
P1
31.0%
38.2%
P2
38.5%
45.3%
P3
43.8%
46.6%
Final 5 min
39.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%