Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Kupari 53.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 87.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.5%
Neutral zone
Kupari 63.4%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Ryan
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Kupari
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
53.6% (379)
-2.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
66.7% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
72.2% (18)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Kupari is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kupari
Home
53.7% (214)
55.5% (245)
Away
46.4% (220)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Ryan
Kupari
P1
45.0%
58.8%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
54.6%
57.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |