Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kupari wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.8%
Defensive zone
Kupari 71.6%
Neutral zone
Kupari 56.6%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Kupari
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Kupari
Thomas
Last 10: Kupari 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
3
2
Kupari
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
5
Kupari
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
5
Kupari
Thomas
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
51.1% (5,350)
-0.6%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
55.8% (921)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
49.9% (691)
+0.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Kupari shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Kupari
Thomas
Home
51.4% (782)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
49.2% (655)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Kupari
Thomas
P1
49.9%
50.6%
P2
48.5%
52.9%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |