Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 62.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 82.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 71.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Kupari
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kupari
Nosek
Last 8: Kupari 6-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
3
0
Kupari
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
0
Kupari
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Kupari
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
54.9% (2,674)
-4.4%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
44.7% (47)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
47.4% (424)
+3.0%
On even strength, Nosek has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Kupari shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Kupari
Nosek
Home
51.4% (782)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
49.2% (655)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Kupari
Nosek
P1
49.9%
52.3%
P2
48.5%
54.0%
P3
52.9%
54.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |