Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Whitney on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Whitney wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Whitney 43.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Whitney 79.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.9%
Neutral zone
Whitney 56.2%
Result
Ray Whitney favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Whitney
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Whitney
Koivu
Last 9: Whitney 4-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Whitney
4
1
Whitney
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Whitney
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Whitney
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Whitney
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (83)
51.9% (3,221)
-17.0%
Power Play
44.0% (84)
59.3% (437)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
48.0% (764)
-48.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Whitney is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Whitney shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Whitney
Koivu
Home
43.3% (90)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
34.6% (78)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Whitney
Koivu
P1
38.2%
51.1%
P2
39.7%
52.6%
P3
40.4%
51.8%
OT
33.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
34.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Whitney
34.0%▼
39.3%
39.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Ray Whitney |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ray Whitney |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Ray Whitney |
| Dec 5, 2010 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ray Whitney |