Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.5% vs Dries 49.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 84.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Dries 56.8%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Johnson
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Johnson
Dries
Last 5: Johnson 2-3 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
1
2
Johnson
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Dries
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (434)
48.5% (544)
+5.0%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
54.3% (70)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (81)
51.4% (37)
-10.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Johnson shoots right. Dries is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Johnson
Dries
Home
50.8% (252)
52.6% (363)
Away
52.6% (268)
45.1% (288)
By Period
Johnson
Dries
P1
52.1%
46.7%
P2
47.4%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Reese Johnson |