Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.5% vs Kozak 48.8% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 61.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.9%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Johnson
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (434)
48.3% (431)
+5.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
62.5% (8)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (81)
48.9% (45)
-8.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Johnson shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Johnson
Kozak
Home
50.8% (252)
47.6% (229)
Away
52.6% (268)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Johnson
Kozak
P1
52.1%
54.4%
P2
47.4%
45.7%
P3
56.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%