Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pitlick wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pitlick 46.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pitlick 55.2%
Defensive zone
Pitlick 64.6%
Neutral zone
Pitlick 60.8%
Result
Rem Pitlick favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Pitlick
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Pitlick
Aho
Last 10: Pitlick 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pitlick
2
0
Pitlick
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Pitlick
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Pitlick
Aho
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pitlick
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (188)
50.1% (6,619)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
58.9% (1,310)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
46.3% (464)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, Pitlick has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pitlick is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Pitlick shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Pitlick
Aho
Home
43.4% (106)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
44.8% (116)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Pitlick
Aho
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
40.2%
52.0%
P3
44.3%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pitlick
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |