Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Peverley 55.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 72.6%
Defensive zone
Peverley 92.9%
Neutral zone
Peverley 82.4%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Richards
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Richards
Peverley
Last 7: Richards 6-1 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
1
Richards
Peverley
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
55.9% (800)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
54.8% (219)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
58.4% (149)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Richards is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Richards shoots left. Peverley is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (820).
Home / Away
Richards
Peverley
Home
49.9% (527)
57.3% (590)
Away
51.4% (463)
54.4% (586)
By Period
Richards
Peverley
P1
49.2%
56.0%
P2
50.7%
58.1%
P3
52.2%
54.0%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |