Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.7% vs Peverley 58.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 61.6%
Defensive zone
Richardson 80.0%
Neutral zone
Richardson 59.7%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Richardson
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Richardson
Peverley
Last 9: Richardson 3-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Richardson
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
2
Richardson
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (803)
62.8% (414)
-6.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
54.2% (96)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (148)
52.2% (69)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Richardson shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Richardson
Peverley
Home
54.6% (577)
63.9% (324)
Away
56.0% (389)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Richardson
Peverley
P1
49.0%
63.3%
P2
60.9%
60.1%
P3
54.6%
58.0%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
55.2%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |