Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Peverley 55.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 82.4%
Defensive zone
Boyce 79.4%
Neutral zone
Boyce 79.3%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Boyce
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyce
Peverley
Last 5: Boyce 1-4 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyce
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Boyce
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
55.9% (800)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
54.8% (219)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
58.4% (149)
-36.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Peverley is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (820).
Home / Away
Boyce
Peverley
Home
51.5% (239)
57.3% (590)
Away
40.8% (218)
54.4% (586)
By Period
Boyce
Peverley
P1
47.7%
56.0%
P2
46.5%
58.1%
P3
44.8%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |