Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Peverley 58.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 88.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 77.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Spezza
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Spezza
Peverley
Last 8: Spezza 1-7 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
5
Spezza
Peverley
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Spezza
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
59.2% (223)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
61.1% (54)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
68.5% (54)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Spezza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Spezza shoots right. Peverley is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Spezza
Peverley
Home
56.4% (853)
54.0% (161)
Away
50.5% (847)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Spezza
Peverley
P1
53.4%
65.0%
P2
54.2%
53.0%
P3
53.4%
65.5%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |