Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Hecht wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Peverley 58.6% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 69.6%
Defensive zone
Hecht 69.4%
Neutral zone
Hecht 69.9%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Hecht
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hecht
Peverley
Last 6: Hecht 2-4 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Hecht
Peverley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hecht
Peverley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Hecht
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
59.2% (223)
-12.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
61.1% (54)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
68.5% (54)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Hecht is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Hecht shoots left. Peverley is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Hecht
Peverley
Home
49.3% (150)
54.0% (161)
Away
41.3% (150)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Hecht
Peverley
P1
44.3%
65.0%
P2
50.0%
53.0%
P3
41.9%
65.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |