Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Peverley 58.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 72.0%
Defensive zone
Peverley 93.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 93.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Tavares
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tavares
Peverley
Last 5: Tavares 5-0 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Peverley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
62.8% (414)
-14.1%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
54.2% (96)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
52.2% (69)
+7.8%
On even strength, Peverley has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Tavares is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Tavares shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Tavares
Peverley
Home
50.0% (542)
63.9% (324)
Away
48.2% (587)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Tavares
Peverley
P1
52.2%
63.3%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
45.1%
58.0%
OT
48.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |