Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kruger wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 55.9% vs Peverley 58.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 85.1%
Neutral zone
Kruger 62.6%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Kruger
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kruger
Peverley
Last 8: Kruger 3-5 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
5
Kruger
Peverley
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
3
0
Kruger
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (597)
62.8% (414)
-5.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
54.2% (96)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (164)
52.2% (69)
-0.4%
On power play, Kruger has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Kruger is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kruger shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Kruger
Peverley
Home
58.6% (408)
63.9% (324)
Away
54.5% (365)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Kruger
Peverley
P1
54.3%
63.3%
P2
56.9%
60.1%
P3
58.3%
58.0%
OT
61.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |