Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 47.8% vs Peverley 56.6% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 86.8%
Defensive zone
Ellis 81.4%
Neutral zone
Ellis 85.1%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Ellis
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Ellis
Peverley
Last 6: Ellis 0-6 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Ellis
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Ellis
Peverley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (32)
56.1% (278)
-12.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
81.8% (22)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
60.7% (61)
-60.7%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Ellis is 7.1% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Ellis shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Ellis
Peverley
Home
50.0% (10)
53.9% (191)
Away
38.5% (26)
63.5% (170)
By Period
Ellis
Peverley
P1
50.0%
60.9%
P2
28.6%
57.9%
P3
50.0%
56.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
41.7%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |