Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Gaustad wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Peverley 58.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 58.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 67.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Gaustad
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
13
(14 meetings)
1
13
Gaustad
Peverley
Last 10: Gaustad 1-9 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
10
Gaustad
Peverley
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Gaustad
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaustad
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
62.8% (414)
-3.5%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
54.2% (96)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
52.2% (69)
+0.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Gaustad shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Peverley
Home
58.6% (604)
63.9% (324)
Away
57.4% (596)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Gaustad
Peverley
P1
61.5%
63.3%
P2
55.7%
60.1%
P3
56.6%
58.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |