Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Peverley wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 51.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 53.0%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Peverley
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Peverley
Kesler
Last 10: Peverley 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
3
1
Peverley
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Peverley
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Peverley
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
56.4% (8,095)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
50.5% (1,908)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Peverley shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Peverley
Kesler
Home
58.1% (1,266)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Peverley
Kesler
P1
59.6%
56.5%
P2
57.8%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
56.1%
OT
51.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |