Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Peverley wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 56.6% vs Ott 54.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 52.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 65.5%
Neutral zone
Ott 57.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Peverley
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Peverley
Ott
Last 9: Peverley 3-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Peverley
Ott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Peverley
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (278)
54.8% (305)
+1.3%
Power Play
81.8% (22)
56.8% (95)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (61)
57.0% (135)
+3.7%
On power play, Peverley has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Peverley shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Peverley
Ott
Home
53.9% (191)
58.7% (271)
Away
63.5% (170)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Peverley
Ott
P1
60.9%
60.4%
P2
57.9%
54.0%
P3
56.9%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Steve Ott |