Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Peverley wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 76.4%
Defensive zone
Zajac 51.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 57.0%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Peverley
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Peverley
Zajac
Last 10: Peverley 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
5
0
Peverley
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
4
2
Peverley
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Peverley
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
54.4% (9,056)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
59.1% (1,498)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
48.6% (1,599)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Peverley shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Peverley
Zajac
Home
58.1% (1,266)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Peverley
Zajac
P1
59.6%
53.8%
P2
57.8%
55.6%
P3
57.0%
53.6%
OT
51.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |