Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.3%). Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Peverley wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 55.4% vs Zajac 54.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 54.9%
Defensive zone
Peverley 59.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 52.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Peverley
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Peverley
Zajac
Last 10: Peverley 8-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
5
0
Peverley
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
4
1
Peverley
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Peverley
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (800)
53.9% (958)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.8% (219)
67.1% (146)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
58.4% (149)
52.5% (139)
+5.9%
On power play, Zajac has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Peverley is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Peverley shoots right. Zajac is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Peverley
Zajac
Home
57.3% (590)
55.5% (627)
Away
54.4% (586)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Peverley
Zajac
P1
56.0%
51.7%
P2
58.1%
58.5%
P3
54.0%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |