Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Peverley wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Ennis 41.7% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Ennis leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ennis 50.2%
Defensive zone
Peverley 67.3%
Neutral zone
Peverley 62.3%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Peverley
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Peverley
Ennis
Last 10: Peverley 4-6 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
2
3
Peverley
Ennis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Peverley
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
40.7% (1,404)
+17.3%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
45.5% (167)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
38.1% (21)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Peverley shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Peverley
Ennis
Home
58.1% (1,266)
43.6% (834)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Peverley
Ennis
P1
59.6%
39.4%
P2
57.8%
43.1%
P3
57.0%
41.7%
OT
51.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
60.1%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |