Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peverley wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 56.6% vs Ennis 43.6% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 62.5%
Defensive zone
Ennis 57.4%
Neutral zone
Ennis 67.4%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Peverley
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Peverley
Ennis
Last 6: Peverley 2-4 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Peverley
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Peverley
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (278)
39.8% (329)
+16.3%
Power Play
81.8% (22)
55.6% (45)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (61)
66.7% (3)
-6.0%
On power play, Peverley has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Peverley is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Peverley shoots right. Ennis is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Peverley
Ennis
Home
53.9% (191)
44.5% (191)
Away
63.5% (170)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Peverley
Ennis
P1
60.9%
42.7%
P2
57.9%
37.7%
P3
56.9%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
65.9%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.4%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |