Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dalpe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peverley wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Dalpe 47.0% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dalpe 78.7%
Defensive zone
Dalpe 77.0%
Neutral zone
Dalpe 79.8%
Result
Zac Dalpe favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Peverley
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Peverley
Dalpe
Last 5: Peverley 1-4 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
2
Peverley
Dalpe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dalpe
1
2
Peverley
Dalpe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
46.3% (458)
+11.7%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
65.0% (20)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
25.0% (12)
+34.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Peverley shoots right. Dalpe is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Peverley
Dalpe
Home
58.1% (1,266)
45.8% (238)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Peverley
Dalpe
P1
59.6%
44.6%
P2
57.8%
50.6%
P3
57.0%
43.6%
Final 5 min
60.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Zac Dalpe |