Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Park wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Park 54.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 70.4%
Defensive zone
Connolly 80.9%
Neutral zone
Connolly 74.4%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Park
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Park
Connolly
Last 10: Park 3-7 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Park
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Park
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Park
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Park
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (348)
47.4% (1,307)
+8.3%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
50.2% (251)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
41.9% (186)
+16.0%
On power play, Connolly has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Park is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Park shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Park
Connolly
Home
62.0% (205)
48.5% (870)
Away
49.0% (192)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Park
Connolly
P1
55.3%
47.4%
P2
56.2%
47.7%
P3
55.2%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Richard Park |