Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Park on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Park wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Park 54.5% vs Smith 50.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Park 81.7%
Defensive zone
Park 61.3%
Neutral zone
Park 65.6%
Result
Richard Park favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Park
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Park
Smith
Last 6: Park 4-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Park
3
0
Park
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Park
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Park
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Park
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (348)
51.6% (5,265)
+4.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
51.2% (342)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
45.3% (985)
+12.6%
On power play, Smith has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Park is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Park shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Park
Smith
Home
62.0% (205)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
49.0% (192)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Park
Smith
P1
55.3%
49.9%
P2
56.2%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Richard Park |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Richard Park |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Richard Park |