Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Rakell 44.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 64.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 58.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 59.7%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Henrique
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Rakell
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Henrique
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Rakell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Henrique
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
43.7% (423)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
45.5% (22)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
33.3% (6)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Rakell is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Henrique
Rakell
Home
46.9% (680)
46.1% (180)
Away
42.5% (701)
42.1% (271)
By Period
Henrique
Rakell
P1
43.0%
47.7%
P2
46.2%
37.6%
P3
46.2%
46.0%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |