Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Rakell 41.7% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 84.2%
Defensive zone
Rakell 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rakell 77.1%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Lindholm
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lindholm
Rakell
Last 6: Lindholm 1-5 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
3
Lindholm
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Lindholm
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
36.8% (114)
+17.6%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
42.3% (26)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
0.0% (7)
+49.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Rakell is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rakell
Home
55.8% (541)
41.2% (68)
Away
54.7% (428)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Lindholm
Rakell
P1
54.8%
34.5%
P2
55.7%
38.5%
P3
55.6%
33.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |