Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rakell wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 66.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 95.7%
Neutral zone
Ott 81.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Rakell
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rakell
Ott
Last 6: Rakell 4-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
4
0
Rakell
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Rakell
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Rakell
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (1,864)
57.2% (2,802)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.3% (197)
55.4% (567)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
49.9% (853)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Rakell shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Rakell
Ott
Home
46.7% (1,041)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
42.7% (1,044)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Rakell
Ott
P1
45.6%
56.7%
P2
42.1%
53.9%
P3
46.4%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
44.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |