Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Greig 50.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 76.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 58.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Copp
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Copp
Greig
Last 6: Copp 1-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Copp
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Copp
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Copp
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
51.5% (336)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
66.7% (24)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
43.2% (81)
+2.4%
On power play, Greig has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Copp
Greig
Home
54.4% (408)
50.2% (247)
Away
53.4% (410)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Copp
Greig
P1
53.3%
46.9%
P2
54.1%
58.8%
P3
54.9%
48.3%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |